Kenya: IMF lowered its growth forecast for 2015 to 6.5%

IMFThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced that the Kenyan economy is expected to grow by 6.5% in 2015, against the 6.9% forecast announced earlier this year.

 “Kenya’s economy remains resilient in the face of headwinds, with real GDP projected to grow by around 6.5 percent in 2015, supported by rising infrastructure investments, lower energy prices, and a dynamic of private investment environment,” Mauro Mecagni, head of an IMF visiting team to Kenya, said in a statement.

“The mission urged the authorities to boost efforts to mobilize domestic revenue and restrain current spending, so as to preserve room for critical priorities, notably closing infrastructure gaps, supporting an orderly devolution process, and strengthening the social safety net,” Mecagni said.

He said the shilling’s weakness was in line with developments in international financial markets. The local currency is down 7.8 percent against the dollar at end of May.

“The CBK stepped up its monetary operations and has intervened in the foreign exchange market to mitigate heightened volatility of the shilling in recent weeks,” Mecagni said.

“Gross international reserves, equivalent to $7.3 billion at end of May, remain adequate.”

According to official sources, the country’s budget had a deficit of 7.4 percent of GDP, and in 2015/2016, the National Treasury’s budgetary policy statement for February targets a budget deficit of 8.2 percent of GDP.

During the past year, the first East African economy faced several challenges, including the bloody terrorist attacks attributed to the Somali Islamist group Al Shabaab which leaded the tourism industry and a drought spell that has reduced agricultural production. Kenya’s economic growth was thus established at 5.3% in 2014, against 5.7% in 2013.

About Geraldine Boechat 2136 Articles
Senior Editor for Medafrica Times and former journalist for Swiss National Television. former NGO team leader in Burundi and Somalia